Botafogo vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 3
SAN
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 4
BOT
14%
19%
67%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 1
BOT
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
12%
19%
69%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FRI
2 - 3
BAN
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
MAD
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
BAN
36%
25%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |