Botafogo vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 2
VOL
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MES
0 - 2
BOT
8%
17%
75%
|
82 | 42 | 40 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 2
BOT
14%
20%
66%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
BAN
3 - 3
FRI
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
9%
21%
70%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MES
3 - 1
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 0
AFC
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |