Botafogo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
COR
0 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
SFE
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 2
VAS
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 0
ATP
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
SCI
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
ATP
39%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |