Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-2
Botafogo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
ATP
0 - 0
BOT
41%
24%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 3
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRZ
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATP
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ATP
0 - 0
FLA
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
ATP
0 - 0
BOT
41%
24%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATP
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |