Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-1
Botafogo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
61%
20%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 2
AMF
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
VAS
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
61%
20%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 3
COR
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
COT
3 - 0
ATM
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
FFL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |