Botafogo vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.6%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
4 - 0
DUQ
89%
9%
3%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAB
0 - 4
BOT
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 4
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
TIG
2 - 3
BOT
9%
17%
75%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 2
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 3
BAN
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
AME
5 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 0
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 4
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |