Botafogo vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
VAS
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CRZ
0 - 1
BOT
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AMF
3 - 0
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
AMF
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AMF
1 - 3
COT
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
AMF
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
AMF
0 - 0
FFL
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |