Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-1
Botafogo PB vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
DPB
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 2
BOT
11%
19%
70%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
BAH
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 1
ALA
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIT
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
BAH
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |