Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Botafogo PB vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOT
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 2
SDJ
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SER
2 - 3
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 0
SER
65%
22%
14%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SER
2 - 2
TIR
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
TIR
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 1
TIR
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |