Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
REM
0 - 0
BOT
37%
29%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAL
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
REM
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
ABC
0 - 3
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |