Botafogo PB vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
MIR
84%
11%
4%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 2
ASA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
CUI
0 - 1
BOT
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
7 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REM
3 - 2
RIV
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
INT
63%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |