Série D Brazil Final
Global 3-2
Botafogo PB vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
TIR
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
JUV
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 0
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
ECS
0 - 1
JUV
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
ECS
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |