Botafogo PB vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOT
22%
27%
52%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
BOT
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ECP
0 - 1
BOT
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 3
FOR
28%
25%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
FOR
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 1
JUV
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
FOR
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |