Botafogo PB vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
20%
23%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
BOT
27%
27%
45%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
TRE
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
RIV
75%
16%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
17%
24%
60%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | -1 |