Botafogo PB vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
65.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
BOT
12%
25%
63%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 2
TRE
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
4 - 1
JEQ
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 2
BAH
13%
23%
64%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JEQ
0 - 1
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |