Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-5
Botafogo PB vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
TRE
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CSP
1 - 0
BOT
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
AUT
2 - 2
BOT
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOT
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
VOL
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 2
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 2
AME
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 5
DUQ
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 0
DUQ
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |