Botafogo PB vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REM
2 - 1
BOT
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 2
MOT
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 0
BOT
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 1
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CSA
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 1
CON
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
REM
2 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
MOT
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
CUI
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |