Botafogo PB vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 2
BOT
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 0
CON
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
ASA
28%
27%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
SOC
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |