Botafogo PB vs Atlético Cajazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ECP
0 - 1
BOT
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 1
PER
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 2
SPB
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Cajazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 0
TRE
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SPB
0 - 3
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
AUT
48%
25%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
DPB
0 - 3
ATL
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |