Botafogo PB vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOT
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
ICA
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
BOT
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
AUT
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 3
VAS
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
VAS
3 - 1
ARN
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
CUI
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ARN
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |