Botafogo PB vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 2
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
ASA
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
BOT
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
ARN
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 0
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
FOR
18%
26%
57%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |