Botafogo PB vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
BOT
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
ARN
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOT
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
ICA
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
CON
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
ASA
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ASA
3 - 1
ICA
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
ASA
0 - 1
PAL
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASA
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |