Botafogo DF vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 2
BDF
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
BDF
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
BDF
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
BDF
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -2 |