Boston United vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
BOS
0 - 0
STO
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BOS
4 - 1
SOL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HED
4 - 2
BOS
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
BOS
5 - 3
WOR
73%
16%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BOS
5 - 2
VAU
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
0 - 2
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
3 - 0
WOR
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
5 - 4
ALT
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 5
STO
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |