Boston United vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WRE
3 - 0
BOS
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BOS
2 - 0
YOR
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOS
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 5
BOS
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 2
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
STO
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 7
SPE
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 2
ALF
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ALF
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
FAR
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |