Boston United vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STO
1 - 1
BOS
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 0
BRA
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BOS
2 - 3
UNM
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
BOS
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
KID
50%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
TOW
33%
25%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
5 - 3
ALF
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
4 - 1
ALF
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 5
TAM
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DAR
3 - 4
ALF
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |