Boston River vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
8º
5º
4
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 12 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 10 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 10 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 10 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 9 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 9 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 7 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 7 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 7 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 6 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 4 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 4 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 4 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAJ
0 - 2
BOS
5%
15%
80%
|
82 | 11 | 71 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
BOS
2 - 0
FEN
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DAN
2 - 0
BOS
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 0
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOS
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 0
RIV
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
RIV
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 3
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
RAC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 1
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |