Boston River vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 1
BOS
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 0
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 2
BOS
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 0
DAN
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ATE
1 - 0
BOS
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
LFC
1 - 2
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
MWA
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
RAC
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |