Boston River vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
5º
5º
12
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
BOS
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 1
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 0
DAN
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
BOS
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BOS
4 - 0
LUZ
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 3
MWA
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MWA
4 - 0
RIV
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |