Boston College vs Louisville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
56.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PIP
1 - 0
BCE
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 2
BCE
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BCE
0 - 2
WAH
21%
20%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
BCE
3 - 0
YBU
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Louisville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 1
SYO
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 0
NCS
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GTH
5 - 1
LOC
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LOC
1 - 0
UDA
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
LOC
4 - 1
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |