Bosnia U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 2
BIH
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
0 - 1
BIH
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
SVK
1 - 0
BIH
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
BIH
0 - 3
SCO
10%
18%
73%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
ENG
2 - 0
BIH
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
NIR
0 - 0
ISL
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 1
NIR
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 2
NIR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
9%
17%
74%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
SRB
3 - 1
NIR
86%
11%
4%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |