Bosnia U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
BIH
4 - 0
GRC
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
BIH
3 - 1
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
BIH
3 - 0
BLR
23%
22%
54%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SRB
2 - 0
BIH
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
GRC
0 - 1
BIH
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
GER
3 - 0
BLR
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
GER
6 - 1
ARG
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
GRC
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
CYP
0 - 3
GER
9%
17%
74%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GRC
4 - 5
GER
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |