Bosco de Arévalo vs San Esteban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
13.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosco de Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 0
CAL
58%
19%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
BOS
53%
21%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 2
SJO
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 2
BOS
58%
20%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 1
TUR
35%
21%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
EST
0 - 3
TAR
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
EST
0 - 2
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SJO
4 - 0
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
EST
3 - 0
ABE
37%
25%
39%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 0
EST
70%
16%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |