Bosco de Arévalo vs A. Candeleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosco de Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UNA
3 - 0
BOS
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 0
EST
71%
16%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 0
CAL
58%
19%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
BOS
53%
21%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 2
SJO
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
MON
11%
18%
72%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 1
ATL
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SJO
7 - 1
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
ABE
17%
22%
61%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 0
UXA
8%
18%
75%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | +1 |