Borussia Neunkirchen vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borussia Neunkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
BNE
3 - 2
ROT
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
BNE
1 - 2
WWO
34%
25%
40%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BNE
1 - 0
PRE
46%
24%
31%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
SAA
2 - 0
BNE
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
BNE
3 - 3
SGF
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
HOM
6 - 1
HES
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
KÖL
2 - 3
HOM
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
HOM
0 - 2
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
EBT
0 - 1
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |