Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
B. Mönchengladbach vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
ARB
3 - 3
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1984 |
MON
10 - 0
EBT
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
KAI
2 - 0
MON
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
MON
4 - 1
DUK
84%
10%
5%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
MON
3 - 3
KSC
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
WLO
0 - 0
GDA
59%
22%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
RAD
1 - 0
WLO
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
AGF
1 - 0
WLO
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
WLO
1 - 1
WIS
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
RCH
0 - 0
WLO
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |