DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 4-2
B. Mönchengladbach vs SV Alsenborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1970 |
ALS
1 - 1
MON
29%
24%
48%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1970 |
MON
5 - 0
EIN
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
ROT
1 - 2
MON
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
MON
3 - 2
BVB
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
HER
4 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SV Alsenborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
VFR
2 - 0
ALS
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
ALS
11 - 0
SAA
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
PIR
5 - 1
ALS
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1970 |
ALS
1 - 1
MON
29%
24%
48%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
ALS
5 - 1
SAA
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |