Europa League Final
Global 3-3
B. Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1980 |
F95
1 - 4
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
MON
2 - 2
BVB
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1980 |
MON
2 - 0
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
MUN
0 - 0
MON
38%
26%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
MON
3 - 2
KFC
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1980 |
KOL
2 - 2
EIN
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
EIN
0 - 1
RTV
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1980 |
EIN
5 - 1
BYM
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
EIN
3 - 5
KAI
56%
21%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
MSV
1 - 0
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |