Champions League Last 16
Global 8-1
B. Mönchengladbach vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
EBT
0 - 6
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
MON
2 - 0
BYM
54%
22%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CRV
0 - 3
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
MON
3 - 0
BSC
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
BRE
3 - 2
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CRV
0 - 3
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
SLR
0 - 3
CRV
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CRV
3 - 0
SLR
87%
8%
4%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
CRV
3 - 1
AEK
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
AEK
2 - 0
CRV
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |