Intercontinental Final
Global 2-5
B. Mönchengladbach vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
MON
12 - 0
BVB
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
HSV
2 - 6
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
S04
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
0 - 1
MON
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
BOC
4 - 0
EST
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOC
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 2
BOC
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1978 |
NOB
1 - 1
BOC
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |