B. Mönchengladbach vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
HSV
2 - 6
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
S04
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
0 - 1
MON
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
LIV
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
BVB
5 - 3
RTV
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
HSV
4 - 1
BVB
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
S04
0 - 2
BVB
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
BVB
2 - 1
SAA
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
EBT
0 - 1
BVB
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |