Europa League 1/16
Global 2-0
B. Mönchengladbach vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
MON
0 - 0
STU
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
RTV
0 - 0
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
MON
4 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
MON
2 - 3
EBT
75%
15%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 0
VAR
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
25%
27%
47%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 1
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAN
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |