B. Mönchengladbach vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
15º
9º
46
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 62 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 53 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
33% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 24 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 22 |
18º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Champions League
|
3.5% | 98.5% |
|
Europa League
|
5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
IPT
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
HOL
56%
22%
21%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 3
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
STU
63%
20%
18%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
BET
74%
17%
10%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
LEV
47%
23%
30%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 2
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 2
LEV
9%
17%
74%
|
97 | 69 | 28 | 0 |