VfV Hildesheim vs TuS Bersenbrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
3º
30
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14% | 22% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 54% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfV Hildesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
HEE
0 - 1
BOR
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VFL
2 - 2
BOR
32%
24%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
AHA
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 5
BOR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 7
ELV
8%
13%
79%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
3 - 2
LUP
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VER
6 - 1
TUB
15%
19%
67%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TUB
0 - 1
SVM
76%
15%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HSC
1 - 3
TUB
21%
21%
59%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 1
TUB
20%
20%
60%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |