VfV Hildesheim vs FC Verden 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
3º
19
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 46% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfV Hildesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SVM
0 - 3
BOR
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 3
TUB
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
HEE
0 - 1
BOR
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VFL
2 - 2
BOR
32%
24%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
AHA
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Verden 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VER
3 - 1
LUP
31%
25%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
6 - 1
VER
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SVM
1 - 1
VER
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VER
6 - 1
TUB
15%
19%
67%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 1
VER
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |