B. Dortmund vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
STU
4 - 1
BVB
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 1
BVB
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
KFC
2 - 0
BVB
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1986 |
BVB
4 - 2
KAI
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
EIN
2 - 1
BVB
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 0
KAI
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
EIN
0 - 2
BRE
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
RTV
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRE
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
BRE
7 - 3
F95
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |