B. Dortmund vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
ISC
3 - 0
BVB
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
AAA
1 - 2
BVB
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BVB
6 - 0
FCM
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
WUP
0 - 3
BVB
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
BVB
4 - 0
TEN
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
WAT
3 - 1
AAA
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 2
WAT
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
WAT
2 - 2
WUP
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
TEN
2 - 1
WAT
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
WAT
0 - 0
WAB
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |