DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 3-0
B. Dortmund vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
5.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
BVB
4 - 3
PRE
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
VIK
0 - 0
BVB
30%
22%
48%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
ROT
0 - 4
BVB
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
ISC
0 - 0
BVB
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1975 |
BVB
6 - 0
AAA
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
VIK
0 - 0
BVB
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
EBT
1 - 2
VIK
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 79 | 43 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
VIK
6 - 1
TSG
93%
5%
2%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
VIK
4 - 0
SVS
21%
22%
58%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
WAT
6 - 3
VIK
84%
12%
4%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | -1 |