B. Dortmund vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
11º
6º
18
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
13% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 3
FCB
32%
22%
46%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
BVB
16%
20%
65%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
1 - 1
BYM
19%
18%
63%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 3
BVB
11%
17%
72%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 0
SCF
69%
18%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
HOF
0 - 0
STB
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
HOF
1 - 1
SCF
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 0
HOF
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
M05
2 - 0
HOF
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 0
HOF
42%
24%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |