B. Dortmund vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
3 - 3
BVB
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
BVB
40%
24%
36%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BVB
4 - 2
FCU
68%
19%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BVB
0 - 0
ACM
42%
25%
34%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STU
2 - 3
HOF
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 3
EIN
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 3
HOF
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 3
BVB
20%
20%
60%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 2
HOF
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |